When
I was a slacker twentysomething, I, like many of my slacker
twentysomething kin, worked in a record store. It was a pretty big
record store in the business downtown of Washington DC, part of a chain
that no longer exists and whose name now escapes me. It catered mostly
to the lawyers, admins and paralegals who worked around there, so it
was pretty mainstream, but I still remember the aisle of import records
(mostly British new wave, since it was the mid-80s) that stretched the
length of the store near the stool where I sat watching the door and
answering questions. The entire back wall was 12-inch singles, and
classical had its own room, with excellent acoustics for refined
listening.
This all came back to me last week as I toured Wal-Mart's music department, doing research for the book. Wal-Mart accounts for about a fifth of America's music sales (I mistakenly said a quarter in this post), and is by far the nation's largest music retailer. As such, it was an essential field trip, mostly to learn more about the opposite of the Long Tail.
Wal-Mart is the Short Head. And I was soon to discover just how short short really is.
This is probably the right time to confess that until I visited I was probably the only person in the country who had never been to a Wal-Mart. It's not that I'm a snob; I'm just not much of a shopper and when I do the big box thing it's Costco. But some 138m Americans shop at Wal-Mart each week, making it perhaps the single most unifying cultural force in the country. So everyone else has already noticed what I discovered, which is that Wal-Mart is a charmless but impressive demonstration of the power of container ships and monopsony to arbitrage global labor rates. Everything is freakishly, how-do-they-do-that cheap.
But it's a depressing way to buy music. Although the size of the inventory varies from store to store, the average number of titles in each, which was 5,000 last year (there are, as a point of reference, 800,000 CDs available on Amazon), has reportedly fallen since then as shelf space for music has been given over to DVDs. At the store I visited in Oakland, California there were about 4,100 titles, distributed as follows:
- "Rock/Pop/R&B": 1800
- "Latina": 1500
- "Christian/Gospel": 360
- "Country": 225
- "Classical/Easy Listening": 225
There were two main aisles. One was "Rock/Pop/R&B"; the other was "Latina". All other categories were lumped into single racks, such as this one:
That is, by the way, the entire Jazz, Classical, World Music, Easy Listening and New Age section.
Of the estimated 30,000 new albums released each year, Wal-Mart carries just 750, according to David Gottlieb, a former label executive interviewed in this Frontline documentary. Entire categories, from dance to spoken-word, are either missing or buried in Rock/Pop/R&B.
[I should note here that this just applies to the physical stores. Walmart.com actually has what appears to be a pretty good music site, with 80,000 CDs, 500,000 downloadable tracks at a market-leading $0.88 each and the option to create your own mix CDs. Unfortunately it doesn't support Firefox, so I can't tell you much more than that.]
Rolling Stone had a revealing article last year about the power of Wal-Mart in the music industry and the effect on our culture of its small (and shrinking) music shelf space and ban on music with a Parental Warning sticker.
No one in the music business ever expected Wal-Mart to become the most powerful force in record retailing. In the past, the business was shared among smaller local and regional chains such as Musicland, which once had an estimated ten percent of the market. But as Wal-Mart and other national discount operations such as Target and Best Buy have grown -- approximately half of all major-label music is sold through these three -- an estimated 1,200 record stores have closed in the past two years, according to market-research firm Almighty Institute of Music Retail. Last February, Tower Records, with ninety-three stores, declared bankruptcy and is now up for sale; Musicland has already changed owners, with many local outposts shuttered.
Wal-Mart is like no traditional record seller. Unlike a typical Tower store, which stocks 60,000 titles, an average Wal-Mart carries about 5,000 CDs. That leaves little room on the shelf for developing artists or independent labels. There's also scant space for catalog albums, which now represent about forty percent of all sales. At a Wal-Mart Supercenter in Thorton, Colorado, for example, there were no copies of the Rolling Stones' Exile on Main Street or Nirvana's Nevermind.
So there you have it. Scarcity,
bottlenecks, the distortion of distribution and the tyranny of shelf
space all wrapped up in one big store. Ironic that a place that seems
to have so much could in fact have so little in each category. It's the
paradox of plenty: a mile wide and an inch deep may look like
everything at first glance, but in a world that's actually a mile wide
and a mile deep a veneer of variety is not enough.
What's interesting to note that Walmart has grown to this percentage of music sales precisely because of the long tail. Before, if you wanted a jazz CD, you'd go to your local "record store" and hope they have it in stock. Now, you buy it online, no hassles. If you want Britney Spears, you know you can get it across the street at Walmart, so oddly enough the long tail seems to reinforce the potency of short tail merchants.
Posted by: Ray Lawton | July 26, 2005 at 05:06 PM
Wow. That explains who is purchasing Britney Spears and American Idol albums. I never understood what mechanism was propping up those sales. Granted, there has always been a market for the mass appeal "pop", but this is a new low in musical diversity. By their actions, Wal-Mart has ensconced these "performers" and inadvertently or not tried to put a nail in the coffin of anything remotely off the main stream. Somewhere in the back of my mind a 1950s Sci-Fi movie (or Outer Limits episode) is rattling around my brain whose premise was identifying individuals as outliers and removing them from society. Or maybe that was McCarthyism.....
All I have to say is "Thank you Long Tail Economics!, iTunes and the indie record labels."
P.S. You are not the only person in America who has never been to a Wal-Mart.
Posted by: Bryan William Jones | July 26, 2005 at 09:39 PM
Doesn't Wal-Mart use CDs and DVDs as loss-leaders, primarily used just to get people into the store to buy other stuff? Which means they don't have that much incentive to boost music sales by widening their selection.
Posted by: perfectlyGoodInk | July 26, 2005 at 09:55 PM
Why pay Wal Mart when you can just swap 250 gig drives in the mail with people who have amazing musical taste and pick up ohhhh something like 25,000 much more interesting songs at a pop?
Posted by: Thomas Hawk | July 26, 2005 at 11:45 PM
Of course - if all stores were Walmart's then it would quickly put paid to all that development of talent - subsidized by larger artists - that the major labels claim that they do.
Posted by: Chris Stiles | July 27, 2005 at 02:01 AM
of course this also demonstrates the pressure that record producers and marketing agents are under to get thier recordings into that 5000 cd inventory. and it also shows the power that walmart can weild in affecting what can be contained on those recordings that they will sell.
Posted by: matt | July 27, 2005 at 06:17 AM
Isn't it just a matter of time before WalMart and others join the tails together by providing a kiosk in the store that allows you to burn any CD you want while you shop? You could buy a whole album, or create your own. Call it iMart, or Walster, or ?!
Posted by: Eric | July 27, 2005 at 09:25 AM
as if they were reading my mind about the power of walmart. a column about a newspaper who is now forbidden from selling thier daily paper because one article was critical of walmart. although they would have reconsidered had the paper fired the writer. geesh...
http://www.pensacolanewsjournal.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20050724/OPINION/507240314/1020#
Posted by: matt eckler | July 27, 2005 at 01:17 PM
Calling Wal-Mart a "new low in musical diversity" is a bit silly. That's like saying Safeway represents a new low in toy diversity because they only have a small rack of toys in their grocery stores.
Wal-Mart has no obligation to promote musical diversity whatsoever. As a retailer, they only want to sell items that people buy. Despite the fact that they have enormous stores, they still have only limited shelf space for music. So in Long Tail terms, Wal-Mart is a lousy aggregator/filter.
Besides, they know who their customers are - music aficionados are not shopping for music at Wal-Mart and likely wouldn't even if the product was there.
Posted by: Vaz | July 27, 2005 at 04:28 PM
I think there is a developing pattern in many of these commentaries that might simplify the Wal-Mart Shelf Effect. I hope this is a distillation of the market processes seen here, but apologize if it comes across as flippant.
For the actors in the role of the Producers in a "Long Tail Economy," distribution shortages are the new supply shortage. The role enforcers of the Producers are ultimately the Aggregators. The Aggregators' role enforcers might be presented as such: the Filters whose consumer research comes (primarily) from narrowcasting and also Anti-Filters whose consumer research comes (primarily) from broadcasting. If an Aggregator uses a Producer's product as a loss-leader, then that might be simultaneous role enforcing from the Filters and Anti-Filters.
Producers, Aggregators and Filters are of course common terms on this web blog. I used Chris Anderson's definitions of each as a guideline for the above distillation of the market processes. Keep in mind my comments are a distilled and heavily saturated monotone. The purpose behind this is oversimplification of a generalization. It is overly simple because it is a general statement that I believe applies generally. Any exceptions are exceptional; they are exceptional because their rarity reinforces the generalization.
Posted by: John "Z-Bo" Zabroski | July 27, 2005 at 04:55 PM
Mr. Lawton is quite correct. Wal-Mart has a smaller diversity of titles precisely because of the Internet and the Long Tail. If you want something niche at all, it just makes sense to buy it online (even including online at Wal-Mart). It doesn't make a whole lot of sense to stock titles that aren't going to move at a brick and mortar store. Even the best independent record stores are never going to be able to have the breadth and depth of titles of something online.
When it makes sense to buy everything niche online-- where you know they'll have it, naturally the only things that get stocked at retail locations are the things which sell well enough to justify it.
People shouldn't get caught up in praising the Long Tail merely because it's quirky or rare or whatever. Very often highly successful things are successful for a reason; they're good at what they do and appeal to a large audience. I strongly think that the Long Tail is good, because I want everyone to have access to whatever they want and what pleases them the most. But I see no reason to denigrate someone merely because their tastes are similar to many other people.
Posted by: John Thacker | July 30, 2005 at 09:28 AM
@John Thacker
There definitely is an argument but is it necessarily proven correct? Beware of taking an idea and making it into conventional wisdom. It's very easy to combine truth and conventional wisdom even when they need to be seperated, which goes against the need for asperity: Truth should be truth because it has harder endurance specifications than mere conventional wisdom.
I believe Ray Lawton's comments may be proven correct in certain cases, but doubt it has universal applicability or even enough generalization to account as a principle of causation. There is a 'Corridor of Viability' for the behavioral patterns of consumers, and that corridor includes non-sensical reasons and combined reasons (reasons that make sense and do not make sense). The interesting thing is that the 'Corridor of Viability' can be influenced via filtering.
Where you suggest that you "want everyone to have access to whatever they want and what pleases them the most" you also raise a moral issue: That there is "no reason to denigrate someone merely because their tastes are similar to many other people." I find this to be interesting, there is not much talk about the ethics of the Long Tail since the themes presented center on how good the Long Tail is for the consumer. I encourage you to continue being cautionary and not to immediately 'flow with the cascade' of user comments which act as a small series of waterfalls. It would be beneficial to everyone for you to raise as many ethical issues as possible.
Posted by: John "Z-Bo" Zabroski | July 31, 2005 at 12:42 AM
Another example is Home Depot. When I remodeled my bathrooms last year I visited a Home Depot for the first time (it's 90 miles away) and was overwhelmed by the variety.
I visited again today and was struck by the realisation of how little they really had. Some of everything but within any category very little variety. More than half of the items I ended up using on my bathrooms were not avialable there. It's even worse by value - of the $5,000 I spent on materials they got about $800.
Fortunately we have Amazon to provide the music long tail to Wal Mart's short head (or Wal Mart's online music store). The question is whether Home Depot will realise the market they are missing and make their web site a serious long tail supplement to their physical stores, or will they unknowingly surrender this market to someone else?
Posted by: Dan Hill | July 31, 2005 at 09:33 PM
Splendid post. Somehow, I can't help but think that Walmart and the music industry deserve each other. BTW, I really, really, really, really, hope that your forthcoming book is sold in Walmart. Wouldn't that be funny??
Posted by: Marketing Headhunter | September 16, 2005 at 06:46 PM
Where's that money, you stupid, silly old fool? Where's the money?! Do you realize what this means? It means bankruptcy and scandal and prison! That's what it means. One of us is going to jail! Well, it's not gonna be me!
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